Bas C. van Fraassen

Seminar Fall '02 Decision Theory
Readings, Presentations, Announcements

Adam Elga and Bas van Fraassen

ANNOUNCEMENTS

Philippe Mongin, November 27
For a preliminary exposition (which Bas will present in the first hour of the seminar) see: Subjective Probability as Modality


Bradley Monton : his paper "The Doomsday Argument Without Knowledge of Birth Rank" -- forthcoming in Philosophical Quarterly Jan 2003 -- is closely related to the material he took up on Oct 9, toward end of session.

Readings
Some will be available for xeroxing in theMarx Hall Library, but mainly in Electronic Course Reserve

See Bibliography for publication details.
Some entries will be links to documents available on the web,either through links here or on External Links in the Blackboard site for this course.

 

Session 1 readings:
van Fraassen, Laws and Symmetry , Chapters 7 and 13

Session 2 readings :

van Fraassen,
"Belief and the Will"

"Belief and the Problem of Ulysses and the Sirens"

"Conditionalization, a New Argument For"

Christensen, D. "Clever bookies and coherent beliefs"
Maher, P. "Diachronic rationality"
Skyrms, B. "Dynamic coherence and probability kinematics"
Talbot, W. J. "Two principles of Bayesian epistemology"

External Links (papers linked to course Blackboard site)

Alan Hajek, "Probability, Interpretations of"

Session 1 Handout
Outline of Sept 18/02 session, with notes and references

Dick Jeffrey's website
includes various of his writings, including his book in progress

Session 2 Handout
Reflection Principle[s], arguments and objections

Session 2: transparency?
Is there an argument for 'transparency of mind'?