Bas C. van Fraassen

Seminar Fall 2002
Decision Theory

Adam Elga and Bas van Fraassen

ANNOUNCEMENT: NOVEMBER 27 SESSION
WILL HAVE GUEST PHILIPPE MONGIN.
SEE "READINGS" LINK BELOW FOR TOPIC OUTLINE

[Participants in the Seminar should consult the Princeton Blackboard Site for this course.
HOWEVER, Blackboard is slow, so click on Readings below to get the External Links for course papers directly


The first two sesssions will introduce subjective probability as a model for opinion, with generalized probability kinematics as the study of means for (rational, coherent) updating of opinion in response to new information or experience. The second session will also introduce the Reflection Principle as criterion for the coherence of one's opinion concerning one's own future opinions.


Subsequent sessions will introduce problems for all of this, with emphasis on problems pertaining to judgments of self-location.


Background reading
see "Readings" link below

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